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Shared calculation

Loaded from the link's inputs. Change any price to re-run the math — the numbers below are computed live, nothing is stored in the link.

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Inputs and results

Enter both sides of a sharp book’s two-way market to strip its commission and recover the fair probability. Add the price your own book is offering to see the edge — the same calculation that generates every alert on the board.

Inputs

e.g. Pinnacle price on the outcome you want.

The opposite outcome at the same book.

Optional — leave blank to see fair value only.

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The share link carries the exact inputs, so anyone who opens it sees this same calculation reproduced from scratch.

Results

Raw implied probabilities51.92% + 52.83% = 104.75%
Book hold (vig)4.75%
Fair probability (no-vig)49.57%
Fair price+100
Break-even needed at your price48.78%
Edge (expected value)+1.61%
Quarter-Kelly stake0.38% of bankroll

Positive but inside the noise band; the default engine would skip it.